Projecting State Transportation Revenue in California

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Starting in 2018, the Mineta Transportation Institute has published a series of scenario studies projecting state-generated transportation revenue. The studies apply spreadsheet models to project revenue under scenarios designed to test the impact of major economic and policy trends, including the state's policies supporting the adoption of zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) and changes in travel patterns. The studies have been produced at the request of State Senator Jim Beall (retired), the California Transportation Commission, and the California Legislature.

Title Date

How Will California’s Electric Vehicle Policy Impact State-Generated Transportation Revenues? Projecting Scenarios through 2040

Forthcoming 1/2024

The Impact of the COVID-19 Recovery on California Transportation Revenue: A Scenario Analysis through 2040

December 2020

The Impact of COVID-19 on California Transportation Revenue

May 2020

The Impact of ZEV Adoption on California Transportation Revenue

July 2019

The Future of California Transportation Revenue

October 2018




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