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Building upon two executive orders (EO N-19-19 and EO N-79-20) targeting the mitigation of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in California, the Climate Action Plan for Transportation Infrastructure (CAPTI) offers a comprehensive plan to work toward a more unified vision for transportation that prioritizes climate, health, and social equity. The purpose of this Task Order is to advance the assessment of statewide transportation investments under CAPTI by updating and applying a previously developed project-level Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) and emissions evaluation framework. This research will systematically review and revise VMT impact ratings for 152 infrastructure output types; apply the enhanced methodology to funding Cycle 4 and Cycle 5 of Senate Bill 1 (SB 1) programs; and evaluate how methodological updates affect prior-cycle estimates. The project will produce updated datasets, interim reports, a final report, and a public webinar summarizing findings. The goal is to provide Caltrans with a transparent, reproducible, and current VMT and emissions assessment framework that supports CAPTI implementation, improves investment decision-making, and enables consistent evaluation of transportation projects statewide. All tasks, deliverables, and analyses will be completed within the performance period of July 2026 through January 2028.
California State University, Long Beach
This research, including the updated methodology and multi-cycle analysis will provide Caltrans with a more accurate, transparent, and policy-relevant understanding of transportation investment’s impact on VMT and emissions across multiple CAPTI programs. Benefits to Caltrans from this research will include:
● A state-of the art, research-based VMT estimation framework.
● Improved consistency and comparability across programs and cycles, allowing Caltrans to better track CAPTI implementation and evaluation over time.
● Updated project- and program-level VMT and emissions estimates for multiple SB1 cycles.
● Clear insight into how methodological changes affect previous findings.
● A user-friendly spreadsheet tool that will make it easier for Caltrans staff and leadership to understand and communicate VMT and emissions implications.
This research will strengthen Caltrans’ ability to make data-driven, statewide investment decisions to support California’s climate and mobility goals. This project will directly support reporting prepared by the California State Transportation Agency (CalSTA).
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San José State University One Washington Square, San Jose, CA 95192 Phone: 408-924-7560 Email: mineta-institute@sjsu.edu