Analytical Models for Traffic Congestion and Accident Analysis

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Analytical Models for Traffic Congestion and Accident Analysis

Abstract: 

In the US, over 38,000 people die in road crashes each year, and 2.35 million are injured or disabled, according to the statistics report from the Association for Safe International Road Travel (ASIRT) in 2020. In addition, traffic congestion keeping Americans stuck on the road wastes millions of hours and billions of dollars each year. Using statistical techniques and machine learning algorithms, this research developed accurate predictive models for traffic congestion and road accidents to increase understanding of the complex causes of these challenging issues. The research used US Accidents data consisting of 49 variables describing 4.2 million accident records from February 2016 to December 2020, as well as logistic regression, tree-based techniques such as Decision Tree Classifier and Random Forest Classifier (RF), and Extreme Gradient boosting (XG-boost) to process and train the models. These models will assist people in making smart real-time transportation decisions to improve mobility and reduce accidents.

Authors: 

HONGRUI LIU

Hongrui Liu is an assistant professor in Industrial and Systems Engineering at San Jose State University (SJSU). Her research interests include optimization modeling, algorithms, data analytics, and their applications in the supply chain and energy industry.

RAHUL RAMACHANDRA SHETTY

Rahul Ramachandra Shetty received his MS degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering at San Jose State University in 2021. He is currently a Supply Chain Business Manager at Lam Research Corporation.

Published: 
November 2021
Keywords: 
Traffic congestion
Data analysis
Machine learning
Transportation
Predictive Models

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