Forecasting Commercial Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) in Urban California Areas

The primary goal of this project is:

•  to examine the relationship between commercial vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and economic/demographic variables, and
• to determine which variables are most important and/or influential in forecasting and predicting the commercial VMT in urban California areas by developing statistical methods and models.  

In addition, our work will examine how the growth of e-commerce activity and air pollution can affect the commercial VMT.   To this end, we will utilize regression analysis, time series models, and trend/growth factor methods.